UNIRB vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNIRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
FLU
25%
21%
55%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JEC
3 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GAL
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
FLU
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
JEC
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
ADL
4%
12%
84%
|
23 | 76 | 53 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JEQ
0 - 1
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |