CDU Malacitano vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
4º
3º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 3
LAU
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
UCA
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
LAU
62%
24%
14%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAU
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
RMC
0 - 1
LAU
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 3
AGU
13%
23%
64%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
MIN
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |