CDU Malacitano vs Montecasillas Fc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CIU
0 - 0
LAU
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LAU
4 - 0
ADM
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 0
LAU
10%
18%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 2
MUL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 0
CDL
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 2
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
CIU
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 0
MON
23%
22%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
UDL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 4
MUL
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |