CDU Malacitano vs Ed Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ADG
0 - 4
LAU
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 0
CFS
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 6
LAU
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
CIU
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EDC
2 - 2
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 1
EDC
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EDC
2 - 1
ADM
44%
24%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
7 - 0
EDC
44%
24%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EDC
2 - 2
MUL
14%
20%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |