CDU Malacitano vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 6
LAU
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
CIU
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 3
LAU
10%
18%
73%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
1 - 2
LAU
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
PIN
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 3
CAR
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
4 - 1
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 5
SPO
28%
24%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |