Union Tornesch vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
16º
13º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 0
UTO
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 3
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WAN
5 - 1
UTO
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 0
HAM
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
EIM
1 - 1
UTO
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
SAS
16%
18%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 3
HAM
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 3
SAS
22%
20%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SAS
4 - 2
ALT
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |