Union Tornesch vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
HTB
2 - 3
UTO
26%
20%
54%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UTO
1 - 2
SCS
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NDF
2 - 1
UTO
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UTO
6 - 1
ELO
76%
13%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 1
UTO
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ELM
0 - 0
FNT
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ELM
4 - 1
SVE
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HTB
4 - 0
ELM
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ELM
0 - 1
SCS
24%
20%
57%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
NDF
3 - 1
ELM
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |