Union Titus Pétange vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
14º
4º
36
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Titus Pétange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
TPE
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
4 - 1
KAE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
F91
0 - 1
TPE
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
SWI
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 1
UNA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ULU
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
USH
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 2
JEU
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |