Union Schafhausen vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
14º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 0
USC
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KON
2 - 0
USC
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
USC
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
H05
2 - 2
USC
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
USC
0 - 4
BSC
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
SCF
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 0
SIE
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
VFL
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |