Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
USF
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
DLS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
USF
3 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 2
USF
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
4 - 3
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
OHI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |