Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
COB
3 - 1
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
USF
1 - 1
ACS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CSL
2 - 2
USF
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
UCH
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
DLS
3 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CRZ
5 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSD
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -2 |