Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
DEP
3 - 0
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
USF
0 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 2
USF
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
USF
0 - 3
UCO
33%
25%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SWA
1 - 1
USF
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
8 - 2
PAL
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |