Unión San Felipe vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
16º
8º
30
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COB
1 - 0
USF
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
USF
0 - 0
DSC
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
DLS
2 - 0
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
USF
4 - 1
CSD
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 1
USF
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
COB
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
IQU
2 - 1
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |