Unión San Felipe vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CUR
3 - 5
USF
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
USF
1 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COQ
4 - 2
USF
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
USF
3 - 1
DCO
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
4 - 2
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 1
CON
65%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
CSD
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |