Unión San Felipe vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
DLS
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
USF
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
USF
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
0 - 1
LOT
75%
18%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
NTA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
MAG
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |