Unión San Felipe vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
16º
16º
70
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
USF
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 1
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
BAR
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 0
USF
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DLS
1 - 0
DER
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 0
LIM
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
DLS
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |