Union Saint-Jean vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
14º
13º
55
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
USJ
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
USJ
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 0
FBP
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 1
USJ
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
3 - 1
ONE
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TOU
5 - 1
FBP
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEA
3 - 1
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 1
ONE
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGD
0 - 1
TOU
30%
27%
44%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 1
BEZ
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |