Union SA vs Tonnerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1737%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
UAM
1 - 0
BUF
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IOH
3 - 1
UAM
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FEU
3 - 1
UAM
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 70 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UAM
0 - 2
EDI
22%
28%
50%
|
20 | 76 | 56 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UAM
1 - 1
FAP
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 64 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
Tonnerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TON
1 - 1
EDI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOV
0 - 2
TON
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
TON
2 - 1
AIR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FAP
1 - 1
TON
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
IOH
3 - 0
TON
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |