Union Quinto vs Montecchio Maggiore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
BEL
58%
22%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
CON
53%
22%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 4
MON
46%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
DEL
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |