Union Quinto vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
NKK
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
UNI
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
ACE
14%
22%
65%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CLO
2 - 2
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GIO
0 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
TAM
36%
26%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
ACS
35%
26%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |