Union Quinto vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
STG
1 - 0
UNI
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |