Union Quinto vs Manzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JES
1 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
APA
1 - 1
UNI
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
TAM
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MZN
2 - 2
CON
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
MZN
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MZN
0 - 1
NUO
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
MZN
58%
22%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MZN
0 - 1
ACE
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |