Union Quinto vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ACC
0 - 3
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VNZ
3 - 2
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
VNZ
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CON
3 - 4
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CON
0 - 2
VNZ
14%
22%
64%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |