Union Quinto vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
NUO
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACE
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VNZ
2 - 2
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NUO
1 - 2
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CON
1 - 3
ACM
32%
26%
43%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ACE
5 - 1
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |