Union Quinto vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
DEL
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
GIO
31%
25%
43%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
DEL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GIO
1 - 0
CER
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
ACS
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |