Union Quinto vs Belluno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
TAM
19%
24%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
ACS
21%
24%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
GIO
1 - 3
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACS
31%
26%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GIO
1 - 1
BEL
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 3
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |