Union Quinto vs Albignasego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
5 - 4
UNI
18%
23%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 0
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 5
UNI
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Albignasego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
ABM
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ABM
0 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ABM
1 - 3
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
ABM
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ABM
7 - 0
NUO
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |