Union Quinto vs AC Mezzocorona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CON
5 - 1
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
TAM
35%
27%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GIO
2 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 2
SAC
51%
25%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
ITA
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |