Union Quinto vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CLO
2 - 2
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
REA
4 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
VIR
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
CER
24%
23%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 1
GIO
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
ACE
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ACE
0 - 1
ACS
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACE
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |