UP Palencia vs Carejas Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+182%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 2
UPP
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
UPP
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 0
TUR
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UXA
1 - 0
UPP
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CEB
0 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
INT
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CFB
5 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNA
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
5 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |