Union Perg vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
VOI
1 - 1
UNP
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
UNP
0 - 1
BLE
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
SPI
6 - 1
UNP
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
UNP
1 - 0
FCK
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
WAC
1 - 3
UNP
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
STU
1 - 1
FCB
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 1
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
STU
5 - 3
FEL
55%
21%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
KOF
4 - 1
STU
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
STU
4 - 0
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +4 |