Union Perg vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 0
UNP
60%
19%
20%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 0
GMU
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 0
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
DON
0 - 2
UNP
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 0
NEU
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
DON
1 - 0
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 3
NEU
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SVW
5 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
HER
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |