Union Perg vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 2
UNP
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UNP
2 - 0
MAR
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNP
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 1
UNP
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
VOC
2 - 0
UNP
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 1
VOC
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
BAD
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 0
GMU
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 0
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 0
BAD
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |