Union Omaha vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
OMA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 0
RIC
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 1
GTR
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 1
IMI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 0
RIC
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
4 - 2
RIC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 2
TUC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
3 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |