Union Omaha vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 2
OMA
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 0
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 0
OMA
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
3 - 3
TUC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TUC
3 - 0
IMI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
TUC
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
TUC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
GTR
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |