Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
27
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 0
OKS
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 3
OMA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OMA
3 - 1
GTR
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
OMA
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OMA
3 - 0
RIC
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
SPV
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 0
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 2
CVF
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
OMA
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 1
SPV
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |