Union Omaha vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
1º
23
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 3
OMA
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
RIC
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 2
OMA
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
CRW
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 3
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 2
NCO
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 2
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CVF
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 3
CVF
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |