Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
1º
43
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 3
GTR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 3
OMA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 0
OMA
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 2
NCO
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STC
5 - 1
OMA
10%
17%
73%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 2
NCO
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
FMA
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 0
FMA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
4 - 1
GTR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |