Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
CRW
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 1
OMA
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 2
NER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 2
OMA
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
FMA
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 0
NER
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
GTR
2 - 2
FMA
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
0 - 2
NER
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
0 - 0
RIC
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |