Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
18
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 4
OMA
20%
23%
58%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
OMA
20%
24%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 2
NCO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CRW
3 - 1
RIC
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
CRW
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
3 - 2
TOR
36%
24%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
CRW
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |