Union Mertert vs US Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
20
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
KOE
20%
19%
62%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
UME
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
SAN
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CBG
6 - 2
UME
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
RSM
58%
19%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
ESC
40%
21%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 7
BET
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 2
SCH
46%
23%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SYR
3 - 0
ESC
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |