Union Mertert vs US Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
UME
81%
12%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UME
2 - 3
SCH
18%
22%
61%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
UME
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UME
1 - 3
JEU
14%
19%
68%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RUM
8 - 0
UME
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
YBW
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BWM
2 - 1
ESC
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 4
MAM
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 0
ESC
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 0
KAE
29%
23%
49%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |