Union Mertert vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UME
2 - 3
USH
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 1
UME
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
UME
0 - 2
KOE
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ERP
1 - 0
UME
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
UME
4 - 4
ERP
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 3
CSP
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
JEU
0 - 1
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
COL
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
ATE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
USH
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |