Union Mertert vs Résidence Walferdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 6
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UME
2 - 7
RUM
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BET
7 - 0
UME
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UME
0 - 4
JEU
11%
19%
70%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ATE
0 - 0
UME
82%
13%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Résidence Walferdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
RBE
0 - 0
RES
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RES
6 - 0
USS
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AVE
0 - 5
RES
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
GRE
23%
22%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |