Union Mertert vs Red Star Merl-Belair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
59.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
35
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 6
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SYR
2 - 1
UME
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
19%
18%
63%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
KOE
20%
19%
62%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
TBB
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
RSM
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 3
SYR
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
RSM
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
RBE
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |