Union Mertert vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
UME
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UME
2 - 3
ATE
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UME
1 - 0
DCE
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BER
0 - 7
UME
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
UME
2 - 0
MUN
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 4
ESC
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 1
OBE
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
KOE
3 - 1
OBE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
OBE
4 - 3
BET
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 2
SPO
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |