Union Mertert vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
UME
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UME
3 - 3
KOE
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
UME
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
UME
1 - 4
LXC
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
OBE
2 - 2
RUM
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
JEU
1 - 1
OBE
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
OBE
2 - 0
USH
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
STE
0 - 3
OBE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |