Union Mertert vs Clemency analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 2
UME
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
UME
1 - 0
JEU
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UME
4 - 1
TBB
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
USS
4 - 2
UME
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UME
1 - 1
STE
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Clemency
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 0
TBB
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
USS
5 - 0
CLE
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 2
STE
24%
23%
54%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BER
7 - 0
CLE
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CLE
0 - 1
CBG
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |