Union Mertert vs Clemency analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 0
UME
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UME
1 - 2
USS
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 3
UME
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
UME
4 - 2
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 2
UME
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Clemency
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 2
BET
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
EHL
0 - 0
CLE
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 2
FLA
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
CLE
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CLE
0 - 2
USM
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |