Union Marina vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEC
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SPM
2 - 3
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIC
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
VEC
2 - 0
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
COS
2 - 1
MAS
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
CFP
0 - 1
COS
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 4
TER
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 3
COS
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 0
UDB
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |